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Middle East Conflict Spurs Market Jitters as China’s Reopening Sparks Anticipation

Global stocks started cautiously on Tuesday as rising tensions in the Middle East worried investors, while oil prices remained high. This comes as markets await China’s return after a long holiday. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield stayed above 4%, with a strong U.S. job market reducing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

The ongoing conflict saw Hezbollah fire rockets at Israel’s Haifa, raising fears of a broader war. Oil prices surged, with Brent crude hitting over $80 a barrel for the first time in more than a month. Concerns about Israel possibly targeting Iran’s oil infrastructure contributed to the price hike, although analysts noted this was an unlikely scenario.

Meanwhile, the cautious mood in global markets may shift with China’s reopening. Chinese markets are expected to see gains after recent stimulus measures, and all eyes are on a key press conference for more details.

In the U.S., expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts have cooled after a strong jobs report, with traders now predicting more modest rate changes. The U.S. dollar has stabilized, while gold remained steady at $2,643.33 per ounce.

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